All Fermi answers
Fermi #111 · Question 3

How much office space is there in Manhattan?

Explore the official answer and the simple reasoning behind this Fermi estimate.

3QUESTION 3 OF 3

Answer & explanation

The official answer, with Fermi’s reasoning step by step.

Answer & explanation

Official answer

450,000,000

square feet

How to estimate it

Fermi’s official “Napkin math”

If we can make a guess at how many people work in Manhattan, we can do some kind of office space per person. Some percentage of 10 million New Yorkers work in Manhattan, plus people who commute from outside the city. If we say two million people work in Manhattan, and each takes up 12 × 12 feet (144 sq ft), we can multiply and get 288 million square feet. That doesn't account for lobbies and bathrooms and whatnot, so it's probably undercounted. I will round up to 300~ million.

People working in Manhattan
~2,000,000
Space each, 12 × 12 ft
144 sq ft
2M × 144
≈ 288,000,000 sq ft
Round up for lobbies
≈ 300,000,000 sq ft

Rounded assumptions may give a slightly different estimate. The official answer above is the game’s reference value.

Source calculation & reference
Manhattan office inventory, Savills, Q4 2025
448.1 million sq ft
CBRE's stricter survey, 2026
413.0 million sq ft
≈
450,000,000 sq ft

Reference cited by Fermi: Savills Manhattan office report, Q4 2025

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